Fact: The shortest bear market in commodity trading history was approximately 11 years?

A look at the history of overall commodity prices since 1730 (chart below) begins to reveal the importance of having a long-term historical understanding. But it may not be obvious.

The view of history for the average market participant spans back to 1960 for many U.S. markets.

This is not because these markets began trading in 1960. But it is due to the fact daily price data before 1960 is simply not yet digitized and available for consumers.

So, with the advent of the computer age, computerized price data for most financial and commodity markets is available going back to 1960. This leaves a tremendous amount of daily price data for over a hundred years in some markets, that cannot be analyzed in a digital format.

With over 28 U.S. markets, in which many of them started trading in the mid 1800’s, and some in the early 1900’s, this untapped wealth of valuable price data is waiting for someone to come along and make use of historical knowledge.

And that's exactly what we've done...

In order to gather and computerize every daily price we invested

• 25 years
• $250,000
• Thousands of man-hours
• Millions of keystrokes.

We now have a complete database of price history for U.S. markets that has been DIGITIZED so we can create charts and run calculations using customized computer software (the Research Engine™).

Since 1990 when we started publishing, we have utilized the advantage provided by a lens into the history of commodity market prices. it is rather obvious to us that an advantage has been gained.

Moreover, it's not just an advantage to have this much history...It's truly an UNFAIR ADVANTAGE that we are able to pass on to our subscribers.

Let me get back to this chart that you saw earlier:

In this chart, you can see that history is marked by alternating periods of inflation, deflation and price stagnation.

Take notice of this important pattern: there have been SIX major inflationary commodity bull markets in over 250 years of trading.

You can see the final highs were:

• June 1781
• December 1815
• August 1864
• May 1920
• February 1951
• November 1980

And, the deflationary periods following these respective highs lasted:

• 11 years
• 29 years
• 32 years
• 13 years
• 17 years
• 19 years

Now, for a relatively recent example (considering the chart goes back to 1749), lets flashback to the 1980’s for a moment.

During the 1980s, there were plenty of commodity traders who made trading and investment decisions based on the assumption that the same type of commodity inflation that occurred in 1970s would continue in the 1980’s.

Needless to say, they were dead wrong, and they paid a heavy price with major losses trying to play the long side of the market during the 19 deflationary years between 1980 and 1999, when commodities were in a 19-year generational bear market.

However, subscribers to our services (which began publishing in 1990) were provided with analysis that would have helped them avoid the losses that would have been incurred by taking long positions during this 19-year bear market.

We waited until 2001 to tell subscribers that overall commodities were an "All-out Buy"… and the bear market was finally over.

"We are starting what will be one of the three greatest commodity inflations in 140 years, which will take place in 2 phases" ~ January 2002 Past Present Futures Newsletter

In turn, many of our subscribers positioned themselves on the right side of history, expecting a long-term bear market in commodities to come to an end, and a bull to begin.

The rest is history.

We don't think there's any question as to whether or not a multi-generational historical perspective important. On the contrary, we believe it is vital.

The aim of the Commodity Forecasting Service is to help you make sound trading decisions to enter the markets at major turning points, based on the hard facts of historical analysis, and psychology of the marketplace...NOT emotions such as greed or fear.

And when you add our position trading strategy to your trading arsenal:

• You’ll receive our projections for when major turning points are coming in the individual commodity markets such as the Energy Complex, Soybean Complex, Grain Complex, Soft Commodities, and others.
• You’ll receive our projections for how long major moves should last in these markets based on historical precedents.
• You’ll receive specific recommendations for entering postions at major turning points for some markets.
• Your profit potential for individual trades will fit our requirement of a 6-to1 risk/reward ratio.

Find Out When the Next Major Turning Point is Expected For The Markets You Follow... Start Your Risk-Free Subscription To The Commodity Forecasting Service Now

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	High Content Report - Commodity Edition (2-3 times per month) Using our analytical tools, we identify the single best opportunity and mount a full scale research effort into that individual market. In these VIDEO presentations, we attempt to forecast when the next major turning point will take place, and arm you with the knowledge you need to manage your emotions and your positions. - A $20 monthly value
	Market Scope Update Commodity Edition (Monday & Friday) On Monday and Friday evenings, you will be alerted to imminent turning points and exceptional moves in a convenient format. You will know the status of any commodity market that interests you, including the position it occupies in its bull or bear campaign. You will also be informed of possible turning points, with the potential to be followed by explosive advances or declines. - A $39 monthly value
	Past Present Futures (monthly) Every month, we give you a unique view of the markets through the lens of history. Repeating trends, patterns and cycles profoundly influence every area of life and you see how these play out in the financial markets. Armed with a unique perspective, our Research Team artfully projects the likely extent and duration, and the price levels and timing of critical turning points. To achieve this, we uncover history’s most relevant precedents and inter-market relationships and connect them to the present. - A $25 monthly value
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