Today was one of the more fascinating days I’ve seen in the financial markets in a long time.

The gold advanced and exceeded the January and early April double top at the same time the Dollar surged to new 11-month highs.  This flight to safe havens precipitated in large part by Standard and Poors downgrading Greece and Portugal’s credit ratings, was in stark contrast to today’s severe sell-offs in the Stock Market and Crude Oil.

During today’s trade, we just missed adding to long positions on the projected breakout in the Gold.

At the same time, whereas the Crude Oil declined to a new recent low, the Heating Oil and Gasoline are showing incredible resiliency.

We still have orders to add to long positions in the energy complex if the Heating Oil follows the Gold into new highs for the bull market.

In this video, I talk about the line in the sand which I believe is drawn between the commodity bulls and bears.  If it is resolved to the upside, these markets should continue to run away to the upside.  If prices fail from here, the probabilities will decline dramatically for higher prices.  This adds up to the perfect scenario in which we can potentially cut our losses and let our profits run.

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In light of the dramatic moves in the Gold and Dollar Index on Friday, the probability for counter trend moves taking place has increased.  That being said, an ideal scenario could play out for two very big plays in the markets.

1. Aggressive investment and speculative long positions in the Gold after further weakness.
2. The soybean complex experiencing sympathy weakness into our historic buying zone.

As many of you have gathered, I am very passionate about providing subscribers with a window into history which is available nowhere else – what I consider to be a proprietary advantage.

However, there is one character quality I have found which enables some of our subscribers to produce the greatest returns.  That quality is the ability to demonstrate patience and await the key opportunities we are able to present to them.

You see, uncommon historic moves with uncommon opportunity are not available every day in any one market.  It takes time for price patterns and formations to mature to the point at which they support “runaway” advances or “runaway” declines during which time W.D. Gann said, “a great deal of money can be made in a short period of time”.

As a result, uncovering historic cycles, patterns and formations which precede runaway moves, are what I am most passionate about.  These are the moves which by definition have a significant impact on the peoples’ net worth who participate in them.  I liken our pursuit of these opportunities to capturing a fugitive.  Accomplishing this feat requires research time and patience.

By spending 25 years computerizing daily price data as far back as possible, our objective was to study all of the idiosyncrasies which precede major moves in the 21 markets we follow.

What is especially exciting and gratifying is when a market replicates a historic situation which has occurred perhaps only a handful of times in history in any one market.  These historic set-ups can telegraph with a high degree of accuracy the start of a dramatic price move.

I invite you to watch the video I have produced which lays out in detail the historic record of what is taking place and the rationale behind what could be one of the best opportunities of 2010.  As a result of what we believe is an imminent opportunity in this market, we are providing a 24-hour second chance to take advantage of the discounted offer to our “Complete Forecasting and Trading Package.”

Here’s the link to enroll for the next 24 hours only:
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In this video, I show you what is in my estimation, the glamour commodity on the board at this time.  The Crude Oil had its day in the sun into the July 2008 all-time high at $147.00.  The bull market which began in 2001 at $17 a barrel exceeded the 1980 all-time high at $40 a barrel in 2004.  At that time, our projection called for at least a doubling in price based upon the closest fit historic precedents during the great inflationary advances in 1864, 1920, 1948, 1974 and 1980.  Our research is telling us that the Gold market at this time has very similar DNA to the Crude Oil market when it broke out in 2004.

In this video, I show the 36 historic bull markets starting in 1916 which advanced to new all-time highs, and what occurred during the legs up during these breakout advances.  An understanding of this historic research and its implications is what provided the impetus for our long-term bullish forecast in Crude Oil – an advance which would carry price 268% higher.

In summary, the Gold is in an ideal position to “buy high and sell higher”.  Much of the rationale for our thinking is contained in this video.

Go Enroll Now for the Complete Forecasting and Trading Package

Complimentary Webinar Replay

While this 13-minute video is jam-packed with valuable information, it is only a PREVIEW of the “Full Presentation” I’ll be making during my upcoming complimentary live webinar.

Webinar Replay: Watch the full length webinar replay

Please accept my invitation to view this new video, and register for the webinar.

I have scheduled a complimentary live webinar where I am going to provide forecasts in the Stock Market, Commodity prices (including Agricultural markets) and Gold market based upon our key historic precedents.

By attending, you will be privy to “paid quality content” very similar to what our current subscribers are getting.

By virtue of having learned the lessons history teaches, lessons which our competitors could not have learned in the absence of investing 20,000 hours computerizing the historic record, you can look over my shoulder at information available nowhere else.  I consider this to be a huge competitive advantage.

The 60-year “Boom and Bust” cycle continues to dictate the trade in our financial markets. Our projections have determined the most bullish portion of this cycle is on the horizon. Now is the time to prepare yourself for this next phase of the cycle as we approach 2010.

This New “Sneak Preview” video gives you insight into:

• The magnitude of the upcoming correction in the Overall Stock Market
• The next major wealth building opportunity in stocks and commodities
• The potential for Gold to continue its bull market into new all-time highs

I also show you exactly what our advisory service has been telling subscribers with regard to where the markets were headed as this 60-year Boom and Bust Cycle unfolded:

• One month after the Stock Market panic had culminated on March 6th
• When the final low in commodity prices coincided almost exactly with a final low in the Stock Market

Webinar Replay: Watch the full length webinar replay

Then we looked at the soybeans, very representative of the agricultural sector since basically all the agricultural markets are playing to the same beat, whether the cotton market, the corn market, wheat market, soybean market, or bean oil. They’re moving, in a sense, as a group because basically what’s happened is that this economic dislocation is having the same impact on commodities as a group.

It’s very unusual that commodities are not trading within their own cycles and have some independence, but right now the commodities are really joined at the hip due to the magnitude of what’s taking place.

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But silver and gold are interesting. As you’re probably aware, gold has been amazingly resilient in the face of the deflation which is taking place across the financial landscape whether it’s in real estate, whether it’s in commodity prices and tangible commodities, natural resource stocks, or in the stock market. There’s just a huge amount of wealth that’s been lost, and yet gold has been holding its own.

It is acting as it has historically, somewhat like a crisis hedge. Silver, I’ve said, typically acts like an industrial metal. It does have a crisis component to it, there’s no doubt, certainly in the psychology of people. But we have felt that this rally in the silver, which started off the October 28th low, would be a bear market rally that would then give way to another leg to the downside in the silver market.

We have been looking at this market to see if it would conform to historic norms as far as bear market rallies are concerned. We have to have probabilities in our favor and not guesswork. What we have in this bar (maroon colored) here, we expected if silver was to hit a bear market rally high, it would do so in this maroon area as of January 26th. Well, our high is January 26th, so we’ve pushed it right to the limit with regard to what would be a normal bear market rally.

I say normal because 71% of the time bear market rallies in the silver are less than 2 months, 28 days, which would put us right at this January 26 ending point. That’s not to say that silver can’t continue higher and put in the bear market rally high and then go down. It can do that, but that would be an aberration. It wouldn’t be hitting the averages. I hope you get this, because we’re looking at the market hitting into probabilities most of the time when doing something. We’re moving beyond where we have a target zone and probabilities being in favor of the silver. Once the probabilities start declining, which is what’s happening in the silver market, we don’t want to put our hard-earned money at risk in something unless we really have the probabilities playing in our favor. We don’t have that, and we’re pushing beyond that time window in the silver, so I want to make you aware of that.

Also, by virtue of that, could there be something happening in silver in our overall bearish forecast? Could that be incorrect? I don’t believe that’s the case, but when we start seeing a market not conforming to historic norms, and as it continues to unfold and move counter to what the ideal would be, and then we start to say, “Okay, we can’t do anything with this market. Maybe we’re wrong in our forecast. Maybe we do have a final low.” I say this because we are often in a place where the market doesn’t conform to what we want. We never do anything as far as a trade action, so there’s nothing wrong with being “wrong” in the market. That’s especially true if you don’t lose any money.

We’ve not had a sell pattern shape up in the silver market for getting short. We’re moving beyond our target zone as far as forecasting is concerned. It has to be a marriage of those two. A trading pattern for going short, we have six trade signals that allow us to either enter longs or enter shorts and exit.

So silver is very interesting for us. This is to say that we were looking for an opportunity to go short, we were looking for the probabilities to work in our favor, and as of today the silver market is a neutral-type situation for us, pending additional trade.

Hopefully that gives you some insight that we are not looking to make a rate of return on a market and always be trading in a market. We are very much what we call “guerilla fighters.” We’re looking for our opportunities to move into a market when the probabilities are right, and we have our own advantage for that based upon history and history being our guide.